
Pts
51
MP
29
W
15
GD
+14
Probability — 1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim dropped points in a 2-2 draw with FC Augsburg when they needed a win, and their Champions League probability was cut in half — from 32% to 16%. With a perfect run of 5 wins from 5 now required to have a realistic shot at a top-4 finish, the model has largely shifted Hoffenheim's realistic ceiling to Europa League, which stands at 84%. They host Borussia Dortmund on Saturday, April 18 — a match they must win if the Champions League thread is to stay alive at all.