
Pts
56
MP
29
W
17
GD
+22
Probability — VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart bounced back from their Dortmund defeat with a sharp 4-0 win over Hamburger SV, and the model responded by lifting their Champions League probability from 49% to 59%. Equal on 56 points with RB Leipzig in 4th but holding a slightly superior goal difference, Stuttgart need 3 wins from their final 5 to be confident of a top-4 finish. The timing is tricky — their next match is an away trip to Bayern München on Sunday, April 19, the most challenging fixture remaining on their schedule.