Championship · 2025 · # 07
Derby
Pts
63
MP
41
W
18
GD
+9
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.0%
Probability — Derby
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓
ProbFut AI Analysis
Derby gave their playoff bid a real boost by beating Stoke City 2-0 in Round 41, doubling their top-6 probability from 7% to 13%. At 7th on 63 points — 1 behind Wrexham, who still have their Round 41 fixture to play — they need a perfect run of 5 wins from 5 remaining games to break into the playoff positions at the 75% confidence mark. The trip to Southampton on Saturday, April 11 arrives after Southampton face Wrexham on Tuesday, meaning the landscape directly above Derby will have shifted before that fixture kicks off.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Derby's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Derby has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Derby need for Escape Relegation?
Derby needs 0 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.