LaLiga 2 · 2025 · # 05
Burgos
Pts
60
MP
35
W
17
GD
+13
Primary Objective
Promotion Playoff
Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.63%
Probability — Burgos
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 7
90% confidence
5Wins/ 7
99% confidence
5Wins/ 7
ProbFut AI Analysis
Burgos have been the most consistent side in the promotion race over the last 5 rounds, winning 4 of them, and the 1-0 win over Sporting Gijon pushed their playoff probability from 44% to 63% — the biggest weekly gain in the top 6. Direct promotion remains a 14% shot given the 5-point gap to Racing Santander, but 3 wins from 7 remaining is enough to cement a playoff place at 75% confidence. Saturday's away trip to Castellón on April 18 is a direct six-pointer between 5th and 6th — Burgos arrive with the better form and the momentum in their favour.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Burgos's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Burgos has a 62.7% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Burgos need for Promotion Playoff?
Burgos needs 5 wins in 7 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.