
Pts
57
MP
35
W
15
GD
+15
Probability — Las Palmas
Las Palmas lost 2-0 at Malaga in Round 35 and their direct promotion chance has shrunk to just 6%, effectively requiring a perfect 7-win run that the simulation considers highly unlikely. The playoff race is the realistic target at 51%, but they're the most vulnerable of the top-7 sides, needing 4 wins from 7 remaining to hold that position at 75% confidence. Friday's home fixture against Leganes on April 17 is an important opportunity to end a 2-game losing run against mid-table opposition before the schedule gets tougher.