Ligue 1 · 2025 · # 16
Auxerre
Pts
24
MP
29
W
5
GD
-14
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.7%
Probability — Auxerre
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
1Wins/ 5
90% confidence
2Wins/ 5
99% confidence
2Wins/ 5
ProbFut AI Analysis
Auxerre drew 0-0 with Nantes this round — a point that does nothing to ease their situation — and their relegation playoff probability climbed to 64%. The scale of what is needed is stark: 3 wins from their remaining 5 games at 75% confidence, from a side that has managed just 5 wins in 29 matches all season. They travel to Monaco on Sunday (Apr 19), a team desperate to respond after their own damaging collapse — making it a high-stakes, emotionally charged fixture for both sides.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Auxerre's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Auxerre has a 6.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Auxerre need for Escape Relegation?
Auxerre needs 2 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.