Ligue 1 · 2025 · # 14
Le Havre
Pts
29
MP
29
W
6
GD
-13
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.7%
Probability — Le Havre
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
1Wins/ 5
90% confidence
1Wins/ 5
99% confidence
2Wins/ 5
ProbFut AI Analysis
Le Havre drew 1-1 with Nice this round — not a win, but enough to cut their relegation playoff risk from 14% to 7%. Sitting 14th on 29 points, they need just 1 more win from their remaining 5 games to be effectively safe at 75% confidence. They travel to Angers on Saturday (Apr 18), where the hosts have nothing significant at stake — exactly the kind of fixture Le Havre need to take advantage of.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Le Havre's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Le Havre has a 6.9% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Le Havre need for Escape the Playoffs?
Le Havre needs 1 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.