
Pts
53
MP
29
W
16
GD
+15
Probability — Lille
Lille demolished Toulouse 4-0 this round to become the in-form side in the Champions League battle, and the model responded immediately — their CL probability jumped 20 points to 85%. With 5 games left, they need 3 wins to lock in a top-4 finish at 75% confidence, and the schedule opens favorably: Nice visit on Saturday (Apr 18), a 15th-placed side with 15 losses in 29 games. Lille sit 1 point ahead of Marseille in 3rd and are now the clearest contender for the final Champions League slot behind Lens.