Ligue 1 · 2025 · # 05
Lyon
Pts
51
MP
29
W
15
GD
+14
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.31%
Probability — Lyon
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 5
90% confidence
5Wins/ 5
99% confidence
5Wins/ 5
ProbFut AI Analysis
Lyon beat Lorient 2-0 this round to jump to 5th on 51 points, triggering the joint-biggest probability shift of the round — Champions League moved from 17% to 29% and Europa League from 19% to 31%, both up 12 points. With 5 games remaining, they need 4 wins for a 75% shot at Champions League, a steep target, and the schedule opens with the hardest possible fixture: away at Paris Saint Germain on Sunday (Apr 19). Lyon are very much alive in the European race but have little margin for error.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Lyon's chances of achieving Europa League?
Lyon has a 30.7% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lyon need for Europa League?
Lyon needs 5 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.