Ligue 1 · 2025 · # 04
Marseille
Pts
52
MP
29
W
16
GD
+20
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.0%
Probability — Marseille
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓
ProbFut AI Analysis
Marseille bounced back from back-to-back defeats with a 3-1 win over Metz this round, pushing their Champions League probability to 58%. Sitting 1 point behind Lille in 4th, they need 3 wins from their remaining 5 games at 75% confidence — though locking down CL at 90% confidence requires winning all 5, which underlines how tight this race remains. They travel to Lorient on Saturday (Apr 18), where the hosts have little at stake and the context suits Marseille.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Marseille's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Marseille has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Marseille need for Escape the Playoffs?
Marseille needs 0 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.