Nantes

Nantes drew 0-0 with Auxerre this round, and their relegation probability climbed to 94% — a season that has slowly become irreversible. They need 4 wins from their remaining 6 games to reach 75% survival confidence, yet they have managed just 4 wins in 28 games all season, meaning survival would require matching their entire season's win output in the final stretch. The schedule is equally unforgiving: they travel to Paris Saint Germain on Wednesday (Apr 22), where points will be almost impossible to find.