
Pts
50
MP
29
W
14
GD
+8
Probability — Rennes
Rennes won 2-1 against Angers this round to move to 6th on 50 points, but their 15% Champions League probability reveals the challenge — at 75% confidence they would need to win all 5 remaining games, a near-perfect finish that the model rates as unlikely. The more achievable targets are Europa League (17%) and Conference League (25%), where 4 or 3 wins from 5 respectively would suffice at 75% confidence. They travel to Strasbourg on Sunday (Apr 19), a win there being a meaningful step toward securing European football.