Brighton

Brighton are in the best form of any side outside the top 4 — 3 consecutive wins, including a 2-0 victory at Burnley this round — and their Europa League probability has doubled from 3% to 6% as a result. The ceiling is still demanding: all 6 remaining wins are required to reach the 75% threshold for European football, which shows how far back they started this run relative to the sides above them. Saturday's away trip to Tottenham on Apr 18 should be a genuine opportunity given Spurs' current run of form.