
Pts
36
MP
32
W
8
GD
-10
Probability — Leeds
Leeds pulled off a 2-1 win at Manchester United — an away result that carries real weight — and their relegation probability dropped from 3% to just 1% as a result. The models are unambiguous: 1 win from 6 remaining is enough to reach virtual safety at the 75% confidence level, and Saturday's home fixture against bottom side Wolves on Apr 18 is precisely the kind of opportunity to put the question entirely to bed.