Tottenham

Tottenham are in a genuine relegation crisis — 4 losses and a draw from their last 5 games, including a 0-1 home defeat to Sunderland this round, pushed their probability from 53% to 69%. The path out requires 3 wins from 6 remaining to reach 75% safety, but 6 wins would be needed for 90% certainty — a sequence that seems almost impossible for a side that hasn't won in 5 straight matches. Saturday's home fixture against in-form Brighton on Apr 18 has become the kind of match where a result is urgently needed, not just desirable.