Premier League · 2025 · # 17
West Ham
Pts
32
MP
32
W
8
GD
-17
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.20%
Probability — West Ham
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 6
90% confidence
2Wins/ 6
99% confidence
3Wins/ 6
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 4-0 thrashing of Wolves was exactly the result West Ham needed, slashing their relegation probability nearly in half from 37% to 20% in a single performance. The models align them with Nottingham Forest on the same target — 2 wins from 6 to reach 75% safety — but West Ham start from 32 points, 1 fewer than Forest, meaning any slip becomes more costly. Monday's away trip to Crystal Palace on Apr 20 is a genuine test of whether that performance was a turning point or a one-off against the division's worst side.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are West Ham's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
West Ham has a 20.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does West Ham need for Escape Relegation?
West Ham needs 2 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.