Serie A · 2025 · # 07
Atalanta
Pts
53
MP
32
W
14
GD
+16
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.83%
Probability — Atalanta
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 6
90% confidence
3Wins/ 6
99% confidence
3Wins/ 6
ProbFut AI Analysis
Atalanta fell to a narrow 0-1 home defeat against Juventus in Round 32, a result that pushed their Europa League probability down from 20% to 9% and is effectively closing that door with 6 games left. The Conference League spot is now their primary objective at 83%, requiring 2 wins from their remaining fixtures at the 75th-percentile threshold — achievable in isolation, but Saturday's trip to AS Roma on April 18 is a decisive match in that fight, with Roma sitting 4 points ahead and competing for exactly the European prizes Atalanta cannot afford to lose ground on.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Atalanta's chances of achieving Conference League?
Atalanta has a 83.0% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atalanta need for Conference League?
Atalanta needs 3 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.