Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 18
CRB
Pts
2
MP
4
W
0
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.14%
Probability — CRB
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
25Wins/ 34
90% confidence
25Wins/ 34
99% confidence
34Wins/ 34
ProbFut AI Analysis
CRB lost 2-3 to Athletic Club and are now among the most concerning sides in the table: 0W 2D 2L, 2 points, and relegation risk climbing 3 points to 26%. Only Ponte Preta and America Mineiro have worse promotion odds, and CRB's p75 promotion target of 25 wins in 34 remaining — joint-highest in the division — reflects the Elo model's read on their quality (1487). Their 13-win safety floor (p75) means the margin for error is real, and the gap to the top half is already growing at this early stage. They host Juventude on Saturday, Apr 18 — a side coming off a win and building confidence — and home advantage needs to count.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are CRB's chances of achieving Promotion?
CRB has a 14.2% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does CRB need for Promotion?
CRB needs 25 wins in 34 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.