Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 17
Cuiaba
Pts
3
MP
4
W
0
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.16%
Probability — Cuiaba
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
24Wins/ 34
90% confidence
25Wins/ 34
99% confidence
34Wins/ 34
ProbFut AI Analysis
Cuiaba are stuck in neutral: 0W 3D 1L from 4 games and no meaningful probability movement after the goalless draw with Operario-PR. Three points from 4 games is a pace that trends toward the lower end of the table, and the simulation has them at 25% relegation risk — one of the higher readings in the division. Draws keep them afloat in the short term, but a team without wins will drift downward as the season progresses. They travel to Goias on Sunday, Apr 19 — a home side looking to bounce back from a defeat — and 3 points there would represent a genuine change of direction. At p75, they need 24 wins in 34 remaining to reach a standard promotion probability.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Cuiaba's chances of achieving Promotion?
Cuiaba has a 15.6% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Cuiaba need for Promotion?
Cuiaba needs 25 wins in 34 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.