Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta are in a difficult early hole: 3 losses in 4 games, just 1 point, and a 29% relegation probability after the 1-0 defeat to Vila Nova. The number that stands out most starkly is their p90 promotion figure — 34 wins needed in 34 remaining — which is the maximum possible and signals that in 90% of simulations, promotion is already out of reach regardless of results going forward. That reflects their Elo (1479, 2nd-lowest in the division) and their current form. They travel to face Avai on Saturday, Apr 18 — the table leaders — and earning something from that match would at least halt the losing run. Stopping the slide is the immediate and only realistic priority.