Goias

Goias suffered their first defeat of the season — a 2-0 loss at Juventude — but the probability model barely moved, with no significant change to their 22% promotion or 17% relegation readings. That stability signals the simulation is treating this as noise at such an early stage with 34 games remaining. They host Cuiaba on Sunday, Apr 19 — a side yet to win a game — where getting back to winning ways should be the expectation. The path to promotion still requires 23 wins in 34 remaining at p75, and avoiding losing runs will be key to staying relevant in what is a tightly clustered upper half.