Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife had a fast start but are now showing fragility — a 1-0 defeat at Ceara made it back-to-back losses, trimming promotion probability 2 points to 21% and nudging relegation risk up to 18%. Their 2 wins came in the opening rounds, and the last 2 results against stronger opposition tell a different story about their level. They host São Bernardo on Saturday, Apr 18 — a side also experiencing inconsistent form — and 3 points at home would halt the drift and keep them on the fringes of the promotion conversation. With 23 wins needed in 34 remaining, they are still in the mix, but need to stop the slide quickly.