Bundesliga · 2025 · # 16
FC St. Pauli
Pts
25
MP
29
W
6
GD
-25
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.75% confidence
3Wins
90% confidence
3Wins
99% confidence
5Wins
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.✕
✕
75% confidenceEuropa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.✕
✕
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
FC St. Pauli were demolished 5-0 by Bayern München in Round 29, and the scoreline moved the numbers in the wrong direction — relegation risk up to 20% and relegation playoff probability now at 42%. With 25 points in 16th and 5 games remaining, they need 3 wins to reach the 75% safety threshold on both fronts, and there is little margin for error. Friday's home match against 1. FC Köln on April 17 is the first chance to halt the slide.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 |  1. FC Köln (KOL) | 1.46 | |
| 31 |  1. FC Heidenheim (HEI) | 1.30 | |
| 32 |  FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) | 1.34 | |
| 33 |  RB Leipzig (LEI) | 0.71 | |
| 34 |  VfL Wolfsburg (WOL) | 1.63 |