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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 50 pts
99%
Champion
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 39 pts
97%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
97%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 03 · 36 pts
87%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
87%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
RB Leipzig
# 04 · 33 pts
54%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
36%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
VfB Stuttgart
# 05 · 33 pts
53%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
40%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 06 · 32 pts
53%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
39%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 27 pts
45%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
2%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 24 pts
18%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
Union Berlin
# 09 · 24 pts
10%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
9
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
1. FC Köln
# 10 · 20 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 11 · 20 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
11
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 16G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 12 · 19 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
4%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
Werder Bremen
# 13 · 18 pts
11%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
8%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
Hamburger SV
# 14 · 17 pts
13%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
11%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
FC Augsburg
# 15 · 16 pts
16%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
29%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
FC St. Pauli
# 16 · 13 pts
21%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
37%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 17 · 13 pts
13%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
69%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
FSV Mainz 05
# 18 · 12 pts
19%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
41%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 16G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 16G