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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 67 pts
99%
Champion
1st
✓
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Borussia Dortmund
# 02 · 58 pts
99%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 03 · 50 pts
89%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
89%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
VfB Stuttgart
# 04 · 50 pts
52%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
48%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
1
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
RB Leipzig
# 05 · 47 pts
65%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
34%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 06 · 45 pts
69%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
30%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 07 · 38 pts
75%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
SC Freiburg
# 08 · 34 pts
10%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
FC Augsburg
# 09 · 31 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
Union Berlin
# 10 · 31 pts
7%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
Hamburger SV
# 11 · 30 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 12 · 28 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
FSV Mainz 05
# 13 · 27 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
1. FC Köln
# 14 · 25 pts
17%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
5%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Werder Bremen
# 15 · 25 pts
27%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
15%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
FC St. Pauli
# 16 · 24 pts
28%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
12%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
3
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 17 · 21 pts
19%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
67%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 18 · 14 pts
99%
Escape Relegation
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
7
W
/ 8G