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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bayern München
# 01 · 24 pts
92%
Champions League
1st
54%
UCL
92%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
12
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
13
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
RB Leipzig
# 02 · 19 pts
69%
Champions League
1st
16%
UCL
69%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
VfB Stuttgart
# 03 · 18 pts
50%
Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
50%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
Borussia Dortmund
# 04 · 17 pts
52%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
52%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
Bayer Leverkusen
# 05 · 17 pts
43%
Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
43%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
Eintracht Frankfurt
# 06 · 13 pts
19%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
19%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
1899 Hoffenheim
# 07 · 13 pts
21%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
21%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
1. FC Köln
# 08 · 11 pts
17%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
17%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
Werder Bremen
# 09 · 11 pts
12%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
9%
REL
6%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
Union Berlin
# 10 · 10 pts
10%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
7%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
SC Freiburg
# 11 · 9 pts
10%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
8%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
VfL Wolfsburg
# 12 · 8 pts
8%
Europa League
1st
0%
UCL
5%
REL
12%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
Hamburger SV
# 13 · 8 pts
7%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
14%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
FC St. Pauli
# 14 · 7 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
17%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
FC Augsburg
# 15 · 7 pts
5%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
18%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
FSV Mainz 05
# 16 · 4 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
24%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
1. FC Heidenheim
# 17 · 4 pts
2%
Conference League
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
33%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 26G
Borussia Mönchengladbach
# 18 · 3 pts
14%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
57%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
11
W
/ 26G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 26G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 26G