Portsmouth

Portsmouth drew 2-2 at home with Oxford United in Round 41, a point that moved their relegation probability from 55% to 51% — still essentially a coin-flip with 6 games remaining. Sitting 22nd on 42 points, they need 3 wins from those 6 to reach safety confidence at both the 75% and 90% thresholds. They host Ipswich on Tuesday, April 14 — a tough assignment against a side chasing automatic promotion — but taking points from top-half clubs in this run-in could prove the difference between Championship survival and dropping to League One.