Championship · 2025 · # 22
Portsmouth
Pts
42
MP
40
W
10
GD
-17
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.51%
Probability — Portsmouth
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 6
90% confidence
3Wins/ 6
99% confidence
6Wins/ 6
ProbFut AI Analysis
Portsmouth drew 2-2 at home with Oxford United in Round 41, a point that moved their relegation probability from 55% to 51% — still essentially a coin-flip with 6 games remaining. Sitting 22nd on 42 points, they need 3 wins from those 6 to reach safety confidence at both the 75% and 90% thresholds. They host Ipswich on Tuesday, April 14 — a tough assignment against a side chasing automatic promotion — but taking points from top-half clubs in this run-in could prove the difference between Championship survival and dropping to League One.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Portsmouth's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Portsmouth has a 51.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Portsmouth need for Escape Relegation?
Portsmouth needs 3 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.