About ProbFut
ProbFut was born from the curiosity of a football fan who wanted to know, with numbers, what needed to happen for his team to be champion.
Who makes it
The project is maintained by Luis Moreno, a Brazilian software engineer living and working in Europe. Luis studied Computational Mathematics at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), where he was first introduced to statistical modeling applied to sports. ProbFut is an independent project, built in his spare time with coffee and an obsession with football.
What it is
A platform that calculates mathematical probabilities for football leagues around the world. The goal is to answer the questions every fan asks: how many wins does my team need? What are the real chances of winning the title? Can we escape relegation?
How it's built
The simulation engine is written in Python and runs Elo, Poisson, and Monte Carlo models. The website is built with Next.js and updated automatically after each round. All data comes from public sources of football results.
Contact
Have a suggestion, question, or want to partner up? Write to info@probfut.com.