How many wins does your team need?
Mathematical probabilities and Magic Numbers for football leagues worldwide.
Magic Numbers Spotlight
Most dramatic scenarios right now
Palmeiras
Libertadores
64%
15winsin 30 matches
Palmeiras has 64% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 15 wins in 30 remaining matches.Palmeiras has 64% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 15 wins in 30 remaining matches.
Cruzeiro
to escape Relegation
46%
14winsin 30 matches
Cruzeiro has 46% chance of escaping Relegation and needs 14 wins in 30 remaining matches.Cruzeiro has 46% chance of escaping Relegation and needs 14 wins in 30 remaining matches.
São Paulo
Libertadores
44%
16winsin 30 matches
São Paulo has 44% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 16 wins in 30 remaining matches.São Paulo has 44% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 16 wins in 30 remaining matches.
Fluminense
Libertadores
43%
16winsin 30 matches
Fluminense has 43% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 16 wins in 30 remaining matches.Fluminense has 43% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 16 wins in 30 remaining matches.
Flamengo
Libertadores
40%
17winsin 30 matches
Flamengo has 40% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 17 wins in 30 remaining matches.Flamengo has 40% probability of qualifying for the Libertadores and needs 17 wins in 30 remaining matches.
Remo
to escape Relegation
62%
13winsin 30 matches
Remo has 62% chance of escaping Relegation and needs 13 wins in 30 remaining matches.Remo has 62% chance of escaping Relegation and needs 13 wins in 30 remaining matches.
Competitions
Wins needed for
| # | Team | Pts | Champion | Libertadores | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 19 | 18/30 | 15/30 | — |
| 2 |  São Paulo | 16 | 19/30 | 16/30 | — |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 16 | 19/30 | 16/30 | — |
| 4 |  Flamengo | 14 | 20/30 | 17/30 | — |
| 5 |  Bahia | 14 | 20/30 | 17/30 | — |
| 6 |  Athletico-PR | 13 | 20/30 | 17/30 | — |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 13 | 20/30 | 17/30 | — |
| 8 |  Grêmio | 11 | 21/30 | 18/30 | — |
| 13 |  Atlético-MG | 8 | — | — | 12/30 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 8 | — | — | 12/30 |
| 15 |  Chapecoense | 7 | — | — | 13/30 |
| 16 |  Santos | 7 | — | — | 13/30 |
| 17 |  Botafogo | 6 | — | — | 13/30 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 6 | — | — | 13/30 |
| 19 |  Remo | 6 | — | — | 13/30 |
| 20 |  Cruzeiro | 4 | — | — | 14/30 |