Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 13
1. FC Köln
Pts
4
MP
4
W
1
GD
-3
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — 1. FC Köln
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 30
90% confidence
18Wins/ 30
99% confidence
20Wins/ 30
ProbFut AI Analysis
1. FC Köln suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Hamburger SV on matchday 4 and sit 13th with 4 points. Their Champions League probability dropped to 17% as a result, while their relegation risk climbed to 14%. To target the Champions League with 75% certainty, Effzeh need at least 21 wins from their remaining 30 matches. Their next test comes on October 11, 2026, at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are 1. FC Köln's chances of achieving Conference League?
1. FC Köln has a 5.3% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does 1. FC Köln need for Conference League?
1. FC Köln needs 18 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.