Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 13
1. FC Köln
Pts
4
MP
4
W
1
GD
-3
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.7%
Probability — 1. FC Köln
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 30
90% confidence
10Wins/ 30
99% confidence
15Wins/ 30
ProbFut AI Analysis
1. FC Köln suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Hamburger SV on matchday 4 and sit 13th with 4 points. Their Champions League probability dropped to 17% as a result, while their relegation risk climbed to 14%. To target the Champions League with 75% certainty, Effzeh need at least 21 wins from their remaining 30 matches. Their next test comes on October 11, 2026, at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are 1. FC Köln's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
1. FC Köln has a 6.7% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does 1. FC Köln need for Escape the Playoffs?
1. FC Köln needs 10 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.