ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 06

Bayern München

Pts

4

MP

2

W

1

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
25%

Probability — Bayern München

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 32
90% confidence
23Wins/ 32
99% confidence
28Wins/ 32

ProbFut AI Analysis

Bayern München were held to a goalless 0-0 draw at FC Schalke 04 on Matchday 2 and sit in 6th place with 4 points. The model gives Der Rekordmeister a 6% title probability alongside a 25% chance of reaching the Champions League, which would require 23 wins from the remaining 32 matches for 75% confidence. Next up is an away match at SV Elversberg on September 13, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Bayern München's chances of achieving Champions League?
Bayern München has a 24.7% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Bayern München need for Champions League?
Bayern München needs 23 wins in 32 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.