Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 16
Hamburger SV
Pts
3
MP
4
W
1
GD
-11
Primary Objective
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.13%
Probability — Hamburger SV
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 30
90% confidence
22Wins/ 30
99% confidence
26Wins/ 30
ProbFut AI Analysis
Hamburger SV picked up their first 3 points of the season with a 2-1 win over 1. FC Köln, climbing out of the automatic relegation places. Rothosen reduced their relegation risk to 17% in the process, while their slim Champions League hopes sit at 13%. To leave the drop zone behind with 75% certainty, HSV need 9 wins from the remaining 30 matches. A visit to 1899 Hoffenheim awaits on October 10, 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Hamburger SV's chances of achieving Champions League?
Hamburger SV has a 13.4% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Hamburger SV need for Champions League?
Hamburger SV needs 22 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.