ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 16

Hamburger SV

Pts

3

MP

4

W

1

GD

-11

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
5%

Probability — Hamburger SV

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 30
90% confidence
20Wins/ 30
99% confidence
20Wins/ 30

ProbFut AI Analysis

Hamburger SV picked up their first 3 points of the season with a 2-1 win over 1. FC Köln, climbing out of the automatic relegation places. Rothosen reduced their relegation risk to 17% in the process, while their slim Champions League hopes sit at 13%. To leave the drop zone behind with 75% certainty, HSV need 9 wins from the remaining 30 matches. A visit to 1899 Hoffenheim awaits on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Hamburger SV's chances of achieving Conference League?
Hamburger SV has a 4.9% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Hamburger SV need for Conference League?
Hamburger SV needs 20 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.