Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 17
Union Berlin
Pts
1
MP
4
W
0
GD
-13
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.21%
Probability — Union Berlin
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 30
90% confidence
11Wins/ 30
99% confidence
15Wins/ 30
ProbFut AI Analysis
Union Berlin were swept aside in a 0-7 thrashing at Bayern München and slipped into the relegation zone in 17th place with just 1 point. Eisernen see their relegation risk climb to 21%, while their Champions League probability shrank to 11%. To ensure top-flight survival at the 75% threshold, at least 9 wins are needed from the 30 remaining matches. A chance at redemption comes on October 10, 2026, in a home fixture against SV Elversberg.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Union Berlin's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Union Berlin has a 21.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Union Berlin need for Escape Relegation?
Union Berlin needs 11 wins in 30 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.