ProbFut
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · # 15

Union Berlin

Pts

1

MP

2

W

0

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Escape the Playoffs

Wins needed to stay in Bundesliga.
6%

Probability — Union Berlin

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 32
90% confidence
10Wins/ 32
99% confidence
12Wins/ 32

ProbFut AI Analysis

Following a heavy 0-4 defeat at Bayer Leverkusen, Union Berlin sit 15th in the table with 1 point. Die Eisernen face a 14% probability of relegation and mathematically need 8 wins from the remaining 32 matchdays to secure top-flight status with 75% confidence. On September 11, 2026, the capital club host FC Schalke 04.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Union Berlin's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Union Berlin has a 6.3% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Union Berlin need for Escape the Playoffs?
Union Berlin needs 10 wins in 32 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.