Championship · 2026/27 · # 22
Derby
Pts
5
MP
8
W
1
GD
-7
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.25%
Probability — Derby
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
14Wins/ 38
90% confidence
14Wins/ 38
99% confidence
19Wins/ 38
ProbFut AI Analysis
Derby sit 22nd on 5 points following a 1-1 away draw with fellow strugglers Burnley. The Rams carry a 25% relegation risk and must target 14 wins from their remaining 38 matches at the 75% confidence mark to escape the drop zone. Derby return to home turf against Wrexham on 2026-10-10 needing to convert performances into all 3 points.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Derby's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Derby has a 25.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Derby need for Escape Relegation?
Derby needs 14 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.