Championship · 2026/27 · # 17
Derby
Pts
1
MP
2
W
0
GD
-1
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.14%
Probability — Derby
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 44
90% confidence
22Wins/ 44
99% confidence
22Wins/ 44
ProbFut AI Analysis
Derby claimed their first point of the season following an entertaining 2-2 draw with Cardiff. The Rams face a 14% relegation risk and a 16% chance at the promotion playoff, where reaching 30 wins over the remaining 44 fixtures satisfies the 75% confidence threshold. Their next fixture is at home against Swansea on 29 August 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Derby's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Derby has a 14.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Derby need for Escape Relegation?
Derby needs 22 wins in 44 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.