ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 03

Middlesbrough

Pts

15

MP

8

W

4

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
14%

Probability — Middlesbrough

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
27Wins/ 38
90% confidence
28Wins/ 38
99% confidence
38Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-2 draw at Birmingham keeps Middlesbrough in 3rd position with 15 points. Boro carry a 14% chance of automatic promotion, with the model estimating 27 wins from the remaining 38 matches at the 75% confidence level to keep pace with the top 2. Middlesbrough face a massive home test against Wolves on 2026-10-10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Middlesbrough's chances of achieving Promotion?
Middlesbrough has a 13.9% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Middlesbrough need for Promotion?
Middlesbrough needs 28 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.