ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 16

Norwich

Pts

9

MP

8

W

3

GD

-1

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
6%

Probability — Norwich

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
29Wins/ 38
90% confidence
30Wins/ 38
99% confidence
33Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

A wild 4-3 defeat against Bolton left Norwich in 16th place on 9 points. The Canaries saw their relegation probability rise to 14%, and they now require 12 wins from the remaining 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to secure safety and halt their defensive slide. Norwich face a stern assignment away at table-topping Swansea on 2026-10-10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Norwich's chances of achieving Promotion?
Norwich has a 5.5% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Norwich need for Promotion?
Norwich needs 30 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.