ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 04

Southampton

Pts

14

MP

8

W

4

GD

+9

Primary Objective

Promotion

Wins needed for direct promotion.
14%

Probability — Southampton

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
28Wins/ 38
90% confidence
38Wins/ 38
99% confidence
38Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

A surprising 2-1 defeat at Wrexham checked Southampton, keeping them 4th on 14 points. The Saints retain a 14% chance of automatic promotion and 23% for the promotion playoff, targeting 28 wins from 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to push into the top 2. Southampton host rivals Portsmouth on 2026-10-11 in a pivotal fixture.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Southampton's chances of achieving Promotion?
Southampton has a 14.2% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Southampton need for Promotion?
Southampton needs 38 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.