Championship · 2026/27 · # 04
Southampton
Pts
14
MP
8
W
4
GD
+9
Primary Objective
Promotion Playoff
Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.23%
Probability — Southampton
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 38
90% confidence
23Wins/ 38
99% confidence
25Wins/ 38
ProbFut AI Analysis
A surprising 2-1 defeat at Wrexham checked Southampton, keeping them 4th on 14 points. The Saints retain a 14% chance of automatic promotion and 23% for the promotion playoff, targeting 28 wins from 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to push into the top 2. Southampton host rivals Portsmouth on 2026-10-11 in a pivotal fixture.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Southampton's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Southampton has a 23.5% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Southampton need for Promotion Playoff?
Southampton needs 23 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.