ProbFut
Championship · 2026/27 · # 01

Swansea

Pts

17

MP

8

W

5

GD

+7

Primary Objective

Promotion Playoff

Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.
25%

Probability — Swansea

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 38
90% confidence
23Wins/ 38
99% confidence
23Wins/ 38

ProbFut AI Analysis

Swansea consolidated their place atop the Championship with a 2-1 victory away at Lincoln, moving to 17 points from 8 matches. The Swans saw their automatic promotion probability jump 5% to a league-leading 19%, requiring 26 wins from their remaining 38 fixtures at the 75% confidence level to secure a top 2 finish. Swansea host Norwich on 2026-10-10 looking to preserve their summit position.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Swansea's chances of achieving Promotion Playoff?
Swansea has a 24.9% probability of achieving Promotion Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Swansea need for Promotion Playoff?
Swansea needs 23 wins in 38 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.