ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 02

Alaves

Pts

4

MP

2

W

1

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
22%

Probability — Alaves

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 36
90% confidence
27Wins/ 36
99% confidence
31Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Alaves have picked up 4 points across the opening 2 matchdays following a 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano, sitting in 2nd place in the table. Projections give los Babazorros a 22% chance of reaching the Champions League, requiring 26 wins from their remaining 36 matches to secure that goal at the 75th percentile. Their next challenge will be against Villarreal on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alaves's chances of achieving Champions League?
Alaves has a 21.8% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Alaves need for Champions League?
Alaves needs 27 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.