LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 02
Alaves
Pts
4
MP
2
W
1
GD
+3
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Alaves
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 36
90% confidence
24Wins/ 36
99% confidence
24Wins/ 36
ProbFut AI Analysis
Alaves have picked up 4 points across the opening 2 matchdays following a 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano, sitting in 2nd place in the table. Projections give los Babazorros a 22% chance of reaching the Champions League, requiring 26 wins from their remaining 36 matches to secure that goal at the 75th percentile. Their next challenge will be against Villarreal on August 28.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Alaves's chances of achieving Conference League?
Alaves has a 5.1% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Alaves need for Conference League?
Alaves needs 24 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.