LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 06
Alaves
Pts
11
MP
7
W
3
GD
+5
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.12%
Probability — Alaves
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 31
90% confidence
19Wins/ 31
99% confidence
21Wins/ 31
ProbFut AI Analysis
Alaves sit in 6th place after a 0-0 draw against Athletic Club, collecting 11 points from 7 matches. Simulations give los Babazorros a 21% chance of reaching the Champions League, a goal that would require 20 wins from their remaining 31 fixtures at a 75% confidence threshold. The Basque outfit's next test will be against Atletico Madrid on October 10, a demanding home clash to stay in the European spots.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Alaves's chances of achieving Europa League?
Alaves has a 11.6% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Alaves need for Europa League?
Alaves needs 19 wins in 31 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.