ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 02

Alaves

Pts

4

MP

2

W

1

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
11%

Probability — Alaves

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 36
90% confidence
24Wins/ 36
99% confidence
27Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Alaves have picked up 4 points across the opening 2 matchdays following a 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano, sitting in 2nd place in the table. Projections give los Babazorros a 22% chance of reaching the Champions League, requiring 26 wins from their remaining 36 matches to secure that goal at the 75th percentile. Their next challenge will be against Villarreal on August 28.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Alaves's chances of achieving Europa League?
Alaves has a 10.5% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Alaves need for Europa League?
Alaves needs 24 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.