ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 12

Rayo Vallecano

Pts

8

MP

7

W

2

GD

-5

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
14%

Probability — Rayo Vallecano

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 31
90% confidence
22Wins/ 31
99% confidence
25Wins/ 31

ProbFut AI Analysis

Rayo Vallecano earned a valuable point in a 1-1 away draw against Osasuna, sitting in 12th place on 8 points. Los Franjirrojos reduced their relegation risk to 16%, with 10 wins from their remaining 31 fixtures set as the requirement to secure safety at a 75% confidence level in the model. The Vallecas side will host Athletic Club on October 10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Rayo Vallecano's chances of achieving Champions League?
Rayo Vallecano has a 14.0% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Rayo Vallecano need for Champions League?
Rayo Vallecano needs 22 wins in 31 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.