ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 12

Rayo Vallecano

Pts

8

MP

7

W

2

GD

-5

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
16%

Probability — Rayo Vallecano

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 31
90% confidence
11Wins/ 31
99% confidence
15Wins/ 31

ProbFut AI Analysis

Rayo Vallecano earned a valuable point in a 1-1 away draw against Osasuna, sitting in 12th place on 8 points. Los Franjirrojos reduced their relegation risk to 16%, with 10 wins from their remaining 31 fixtures set as the requirement to secure safety at a 75% confidence level in the model. The Vallecas side will host Athletic Club on October 10.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Rayo Vallecano's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Rayo Vallecano has a 16.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Rayo Vallecano need for Escape Relegation?
Rayo Vallecano needs 11 wins in 31 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.