ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 01

Sevilla

Pts

6

MP

2

W

2

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
26%

Probability — Sevilla

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 36
90% confidence
27Wins/ 36
99% confidence
31Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sevilla have taken sole possession of top spot with 6 points from a possible 6 after a 1-3 win over Athletic Club. The excellent start by los Nervionenses boosted their Champions League probability to 26% (+4%), requiring 26 wins across the remaining 36 matchdays to guarantee a European berth at the 75th percentile. Their status as league leaders will be tested against Atletico Madrid on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sevilla's chances of achieving Champions League?
Sevilla has a 25.6% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sevilla need for Champions League?
Sevilla needs 27 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.