ProbFut
LaLiga · 2026/27 · # 01

Sevilla

Pts

6

MP

2

W

2

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
5%

Probability — Sevilla

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
21Wins/ 36
90% confidence
22Wins/ 36
99% confidence
24Wins/ 36

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sevilla have taken sole possession of top spot with 6 points from a possible 6 after a 1-3 win over Athletic Club. The excellent start by los Nervionenses boosted their Champions League probability to 26% (+4%), requiring 26 wins across the remaining 36 matchdays to guarantee a European berth at the 75th percentile. Their status as league leaders will be tested against Atletico Madrid on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sevilla's chances of achieving Conference League?
Sevilla has a 5.3% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sevilla need for Conference League?
Sevilla needs 22 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.